When is the next Bitcoin halving?


Bitcoin has been making headlines lately thanks to the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs in the US, record high pricing, and the upcoming Bitcoin halving.

For those uninitiated in the world of crypto, you may be wondering what the Bitcoin halving is and why you should care.

Here's a beginner's guide to Bitcoin halving.

when is the next bitcoin halving

What is Bitcoin halving?

Imagine Bitcoin is a digital gold mine where miners are methodically digging up new coins.

After the Bitcoin halving, the amount of Bitcoin excavated is cut in half.

Miners currently receive 6.25 Bitcoin if they are the first to verify a block of transactions and add it to the blockchain, and following the halving this will drop to 3.125 Bitcoin.

This process repeats itself after every 210,000 blocks added to the chain - meaning the subsequent halving anticipated approximately four years later will yield only 1.5625 Bitcoin.

This might sound harsh, but it's actually a deliberate move coded into the Bitcoin system.

By halving the rewards, mining becomes less profitable and in turn, slows the production of new Bitcoin. It's all about keeping Bitcoin scarce. Just like gold, if there's less of it, each piece becomes more precious.

Unlike fiat currency, the total supply of Bitcoin is fixed and immutable, there will only ever be 21 million Bitcoin.

The combination of a capped supply with the precoded halving means Bitcoin not only emulates the scarcity of precious assets like gold, but its scarcity actually increases over time irrespective of demand.

The halving event is a deliberate mechanism designed to slow supply growth of Bitcoin, further reinforcing its scarcity and hypothetically resulting in increased buying power over time.

The halving happens roughly every four years, but if we really wanted to break it down, blocks take an average of 9.66 minutes to mine, which would take about 1409 days to mine the 210,000 blocks. So in real time, that means the fourth Bitcoin halving is likely due later this month.

When is the next Bitcoin halving?

The next Bitcoin halving is expected to take place in April 2024. It is difficult to predict the exact date as it depends on when the block height reaches 840,000, but our Bitcoin halving clock predicts it will occur in just over a week.

What will the halving mean for the price of Bitcoin?

Historically, each halving event has corresponded with notable Bitcoin price surges and the year following a halving has typically been associated with bull market conditions.

Combined with the significant institutional investment the market has recently seen, and a record-breaking price prior to the halving, and you have an event highly anticipated by not only those in the crypto space but by many investors.

Inflation hedge

When I was first introduced to the world of cryptocurrency, one of the things that caught my attention was how it differed from traditional fiat currencies and one of the key differences Bitcoin offers is as a potential inflation hedge.

Bitcoin's supply inflation rate is set to halve again at the next Bitcoin halving - a stark contrast to the recent years of rampant fiat currency inflation globally. This has made Bitcoin a poster boy for critics of quantitative easing.

For institutional investors, they are increasingly recognising Bitcoin as an emerging asset class for diversification. Given the volatility of Bitcoin, there are undeniably speculators hoping for short-term gains - and it is important retail investors recognise the risk.

What is also undeniable, is that Bitcoin continues to capture headlines here and around the world - and I'm willing to attribute it to the innovative halving algorithm and capped supply.

For now, you will probably continue to hear the crypto-heads yap on about the fluctuating price of Bitcoin as they try and predict market movements to get ahead of the trends. I am also accepting of that.

Finally, while everything I've laid out is a well-documented synopsis of how Bitcoin operates and the movements around previous halving events, none of this is financial advice.

Bitcoin's price, although upward in trajectory, is volatile and past results (you know where this is going) do not guarantee future performance.

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Ben Rose is the regional general manager of blockchain ecosystem and cryptocurrency exchange Binance Australia and New Zealand. He stepped into his current role at Binance in March 2023. Previously, Ben has worked in growth leadership roles for a range of leading financial services and technology businesses including nib, Sovereign, ASB, and AMP Financial Services. Prior to joining Binance, Ben was the Chief Commercial Officer at CodeHQ, a New Zealand software development company.
Luke Lecek
April 17, 2024 8.39pm

Ben you know exactly where the price is going.