Why investors are backing Henkel shares

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While Henkel isn't a household name in Australia, millions of people use its products every day. Its mix of consumer brands and market-leading industrial businesses has helped deliver steady growth, strong cash flow and reliable shareholder returns.

Why we like Henkel shares

Henkel is a high-quality, cash-generative business anchored by the adhesive technologies unit, the global leader in adhesives, sealants and functional coatings.

While Henkel isn't a household name in Australia, millions of people use its products every day. Its mix of consumer brands and market-leading industrial businesses has helped deliver steady growth, strong cash flow and reliable shareholder returns.

Its leading positions, technical expertise and deep customer integration support average organic growth of around 4% and margins in the high teens, with exposure to secular growth in electronics, EVs and industrial applications.

The other key business unit, consumer brands, holds leading positions in hair and laundry care and is becoming more focused and profitable following years of restructuring and portfolio simplification.

Henkel converts most earnings into free cash flow and returns surplus cash through a growing dividend and opportunistic buybacks.

The investment case rests on both segments delivering sustainable 3% to 4% organic growth, led by the adhesives unit, supplemented by inorganic growth from recent acquisitions (mid to high single-digit growth) and steady margin expansion.

About Henkel

Henkel is a German multinational chemical and consumer goods company headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany.

The company employs about 50,000 people worldwide, with more than 80% of staff based outside Germany, including in Australia.

The company has two key business units: adhesive technologies and consumer brands. Its consumer brands portfolio includes Schwarzkopf, Dynamo and Sard across the hair care, laundry care and home care categories.

Strategy and outlook  

Adhesives should benefit from structural growth in electronics and a recovery in broader industrial demand, while consumer brands should improve as hair remains strong and laundry care returns to growth.

Recent acquisitions across both segments provide an additional growth lever.

Margins should expand modestly, primarily from volume growth and a favourable mix, although near-term raw material inflation could temper progress.

We expect capital allocation to remain disciplined, with strong free cash flow generation supporting a robust balance sheet and continued shareholder returns through a growing dividend.

Returns 

At a share price of about €78, Henkel trades on around 13.5 times FY26 earnings and offers a free cash flow yield of around 7%, towards the cheaper end of its historical range and at a discount to both adhesive and home and personal care peers.

We expect mid single-digit earnings growth from low single-digit organic growth, acquisitions and modest margin expansion.

Combined with a dividend yield of about 3%, this provides the potential for solid shareholder returns while waiting for valuation normalisation over time.

Our fair value estimate of around €89 assumes 13 times EV/EBIT, consistent with periods of similar EBIT momentum and implying about 16 times earnings and a free cash flow yield of about 6%, which we believe is reasonable for a high-quality, cash-generative business.

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Chad Padowitz is the co-chief investment officer Talaria Asset Management. He has more than 25 years' experience in the financial services industry in the UK, South Africa and Australia. His experience includes working as an analyst in the treasury department at HSBC Bank in London, in derivative reporting and analysis, and as an equities research analyst at First National Bank in South Africa. In 1998 Chad co-founded Aurica Financial Services in South Africa, a private client asset management company. In 2001, this was sold to Anglorand and he moved to Melbourne where he joined AXA Asia Pacific in 2003 in the role of investment specialist in equities and fixed income. Chad holds a Bachelor of Commerce from the University of the Witwatersrand (South Africa), is a Fellow of the Financial Services Institute of Australasia and is a Chartered Financial Analyst charterholder. He co-founded Talaria Asset Management in 2018. Connect with Chad Padowitz on LinkedIn.