Why wild markets are producing life-changing returns
By Dale Gillham
If you'd invested $10,000 in a single position, which is roughly what many Australians might allocate within a typical $100,000 super balance, and put it into Zip Co and Technology One just last month, with a simple 10% stop loss to manage your risk, you could have turned that into more than $130,000 in under a month.
That's not a typo. It's more than the average Australian annual salary earned in a matter of weeks, and if you're thinking that's just hindsight, here's the key point. Zip Co and Technology One didn't just randomly spike.
They set up in the same way, same pattern, same opportunity, and right now there are plenty of stocks lining up with that exact same setup.
Sharp selloffs, panic and headlines, then a snap back. We saw it again with Mineral Resources back in April 2025. Around the $20 mark, the same pattern showed up.
A $10,000 position with disciplined risk could have turned into more than $200,000 within six months. Not bad, but this isn't about cherry-picking winners, it's about understanding the environment we're in.
Since COVID, market volatility hasn't just increased, it's structurally changed.
Measures like the S&P/ASX 200 VIX have shown repeated spikes well above long-term averages, reflecting faster reactions to macro news, interest rate shifts and geopolitical events. What used to take months now happens in days, and that compression in time is everything because it means fear-driven selloffs are sharper and the rebounds even sharper.
For traders who understand it, this is a dream environment. One clean setup can genuinely equal a year's income, but only if you know what you're looking for.
There's also been a structural shift in participation. Since 2020, retail trading activity surged globally, with millions of new investors entering the market through low-cost platforms.
Broker data and exchange reports across markets have consistently shown elevated account openings and trading volumes compared to pre-COVID levels. More participants mean more emotion, which equates to more volatility and more opportunity.
However, when we turn on the news, everything feels uncertain and it sounds like the world is falling apart. Yet the market keeps pushing toward all-time highs.
That disconnect confuses people, but it shouldn't because markets don't move on headlines. They move on positioning, liquidity and expectation, which is why in the current environment, the edge isn't in predicting the world, it's in focusing on companies.
If volatility is creating these exaggerated selloffs and quality companies are being dragged down by macro noise, are you looking at the next opportunity?
The same setup that created moves in Zip, Technology One and Mineral Resources is forming again. The difference this time is that most people won't act on it because in the moment it feels uncertain and risky, but that's exactly what opportunity looks like if you have the knowledge and skill to take advantage of it.
This market isn't going back to how it was anytime soon. Volatility is higher, moves are faster and opportunities are bigger. But with the right approach, even a relatively small amount of capital can yield massive results.
What are the best and worst-performing sectors this week?
The best-performing sectors include Consumer Staples, up more than 2%, followed by Real Estate and Industrials, both up under 0.5%.
The worst-performing sectors include Healthcare, down more than 6%, followed by Financials, down more than 3% and Energy, down more than 1%.
The best-performing stocks in the ASX top 100 include Treasury Wines Estate, up more than 13%, followed by James Hardie Industries, up more than 8%, and NEXTDC Limited, up more than 4%.
The worst-performing stocks include Cochlear Limited, down more than 43%, followed by Lynas Rare Earths, down more than 11% and HUB24 Limited, down more than 10%.
What's next for the Australian stock market?
Sellers took control of the All Ordinaries Index this week, pushing the market down 1.59% by Thursday's close. If that's starting to trigger flashbacks of previous selloffs, take a step back. The bigger picture tells a very different story.
Over the past four weeks, the All Ords has surged nearly 9% with no selling pressure. That kind of one-sided move doesn't last forever, which makes this week's pullback less of a warning sign and more of a reset. In many ways, it was overdue. Now comes the real test, the 9000 level. If the index can hold above this zone, the path towards new all-time highs remains firmly intact.
If 9000 gives way, the next key support sits between 8800 and 8600. Given the strength of the recent rally, even a move into that range would still fall within the bounds of a healthy pullback. In fact, considering how sharp the run-up has been, a fast, aggressive drop wouldn't be unusual. The critical point is this, the 8600 to 8800 region must hold.
A break below 8600 shifts the conversation entirely and opens the door to a more serious downturn. This becomes even more relevant when you factor in seasonality. Historically, May and June tend to be weaker months for the market, suggesting we could see increased selling pressure in the near term. The hope is that April's strength provides enough buffer to absorb that.
Looking ahead, the next directional clue is likely to come from sector rotation. Technology appears to be building momentum. Financials, on the other hand, have underperformed throughout April, but any rebound in May could help stabilise the index during a typically softer period. Materials have carried the market higher recently, which also makes them the most vulnerable to short-term profit-taking.
Put it all together, and the most likely outcome may not be a sharp move in either direction, but rather a period of choppy, sideways price action. If the Materials sector cools off while Financials pick up the slack, the index could grind rather than trend.
For now, it's simple, stay focused on the key levels. They'll tell you everything you need to know about what comes next.
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