Is QBE's legal drama a risk or an opportunity for investors?
By Dale Gillham
QBE Insurance has landed in the spotlight, not for its stellar performance but for a lawsuit filed by the ASIC.
The case alleges that QBE misled half a million customers about pricing discounts on their insurance policies.
But in a twist few saw coming, the stock price surged more than 17% following the announcement on October 23.
This is a stark contrast to the fate of other ASX-listed companies, like Star Entertainment Group and Telstra, whose shares tumbled when hit with legal and regulatory challenges.
So, with investors seemingly undeterred, the question is: could QBE now be a golden opportunity for your portfolio?
Operationally, QBE is firing on all cylinders. The company has been laser-focused on improving underwriting performance and minimising volatility, particularly in its North American division.
These efforts have paid off handsomely. In its FY24 half-year results, QBE posted a statutory net profit after tax of $802 million, doubling the $400 million reported the previous year.
The momentum didn't stop there-Q3 FY24 gross written premiums climbed 2% year on year, reaffirming its full-year guidance of approximately 3% growth. From a fundamental perspective, QBE looks set to charge full steam ahead into 2025 with solid metrics and strong momentum.
Turning to the charts, QBE's share price has been on an incredible run, skyrocketing more than 30% since September. Naturally, some profit-taking has emerged, and all eyes are now on the $18 support level, where buyers could step back in.
Yet, the looming question is how QBE will navigate its legal battle. While the market has shrugged it off so far, the outcome could still influence sentiment. Investors should closely monitor both the stock's performance and the company's financial results in the coming quarters.
With strong fundamentals and a resilient share price, QBE is shaping up to be a stock worth watching as its story unfolds.
What are the best and worst-performing sectors this week?
The best-performing sectors include Materials, up more than one and a half per cent, followed by
Consumer Staples, up under half a per cent and Consumer Discretionary, down more than half a per cent.
The worst-performing sectors include Information Technology, down more than 5%, followed by Financials, down more than 2% and Industrials, down more than 1.5%.
The best-performing stocks in the ASX top 100 include Mineral Resources, up more than 6%, followed by Pilbara Minerals and Whitehaven Coal, both up more than 4%.
The worst-performing stocks include Ramsay Healthcare, down more than 8%, followed by HUB24 Limited and IDP Education Limited, both down more than 7%.
What's next for the Australian stock market?
This week, the All-Ordinaries Index faced more consolidation, with sellers maintaining control and pushing the index down more than 1%.
But let's not hit the panic button just yet. History reminds us that pullbacks are a natural part of sustained uptrends, often setting the stage for stronger comebacks.
Look no further than the corrections we saw in April and October this year-only for the market to rally to fresh highs shortly afterwards.
With the index currently hovering around the 8600 level-watch for potential buying to emerge, as this level is a critical zone that has repeatedly served as both support and resistance in the past. If 8600 fails, then 8300 points is the next likely target for buyer activity.
Now, about that elusive 9000 mark-it's not completely off the table for 2024, but December's seasonal strength will need a serious boost to make it happen. Retail sales data, coupled with ongoing Chinese stimulus talk, might provide the spark.
A renewed surge in Consumer Discretionary stocks and Materials could spill over into the Financial sector, creating a ripple effect that would drive the broader market higher.
Looking ahead, January often ushers in fresh optimism, and another strong rally in the New Year wouldn't come as a surprise.
For now, this pullback presents a golden opportunity to refine your stock picks, capitalise on better entry points, and position yourself for the rally's next phase.
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