The two most compelling fundamental drivers for the Aussie dollar in 2011-12 are world growth and commodity prices.
economy
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There is no rush for small investors to get into the market, as there is not going to be a huge bounce. Investors already in are in for a bumpy ride.
The big four banks certainly brought home the bacon this year, announcing record profits for the financial year ending 2011 to the tune of $23.28 billion.
Changes in value of the Aussie dollar can have a big impact on investment portfolios, with the huge rise in the $A over 2001-2011 now going into reverse.
The growth in Sydney house prices has become a national talking point. So, recovery or boom? Which way is the market heading?
A glum RBA forecast points to more rate cuts, which raises the question for homeowners: is now the time to lock in?
Will the US dollar appreciate against the Aussie dollar, or will the Japanese yen be the market's funding currency of choice?
The Coalition has floated the possibility of increasing the GST, following the 5% hike by New Zealand, but will we see a change in the near future?
Commodities with industrial uses such as copper, silver and platinum will see rising demand as the cyclical recovery in the global economy continues.
The election of Barack Obama means that, on the face of it, nothing has changed. But there are, nevertheless, potentially important implications for Australia.
