The $200m deal that sent uranium stocks soaring

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The Sprott Physical Uranium Trust just dropped a bombshell, announcing plans to scoop up a massive US$200 million worth of physical uranium.

The market's reaction was immediate. Spot prices surged 9%, jolting a sector that's been quietly simmering for months.

Suddenly, uranium isn't just making a comeback, it's going full throttle. And with that, the big question emerges: has the buying-spree officially kicked off, throwing the spotlight back on some of the ASX's most overlooked uranium stocks?

The $200m deal that sent uranium stocks soaring

Before we dive into the stocks, it's important to remember, uranium has always been a wild ride, known for its brutal boom-and-bust cycles.

But this time, the setup feels different. Beyond Sprott's headline-grabbing announcement, governments around the world are ramping up support for nuclear energy as part of their clean energy strategy.

And the charts? They're starting to sizzle. With spot prices hovering just below the key US$75 resistance level, a clean breakout could light the fuse for a sharp rally back toward US$100.

Back to the ASX, the momentum is already building. Paladin Energy (ASX: PDN) is firing up its Langer Heinrich mine. Boss Energy (ASX: BOE) is ramping up production at Honeymoon.

Deep Yellow (ASX: DYL) is stacking up assets across Namibia and Australia. These aren't just speculative plays anymore, these are real operations, with real production plans, moving into a market where demand is outpacing supply. And that's exactly the kind of environment where uranium stocks can go parabolic.

Put simply, the signs are everywhere. Volume is rising, liquidity is returning, and the smart money is clearly positioning before the crowd catches on. For investors, this isn't just another bounce in a commodity, it's the early stages of what could be a uranium super cycle.

So, the real question is are we on the edge of a uranium breakout that sends the whole sector into overdrive? Because if momentum keeps building, we're not looking at a slow grind higher, we're looking at the kind of explosive move that catches most investors off guard.

What were the best and worst-performing sectors this week?

The best-performing sectors include Energy, up more than 5% followed by Information Technology, up more than 1% and Communication Services, up just under 1%.

The worst performers include Materials, down more than 4% followed by Utilities, down more than 2% and Consumer Staples, down more than half a per cent.

The best performing stocks in the ASX top 100 include Paladin Energy, up more than 18% followed by Santos Limited, up more than 1% and Cochlear, up more than 5%.

The worst-performing stocks include Evolution Mining, down more than 15% followed by Northern Star Resources, down more than 9% and Mineral Resources, down more than 7%.

What's next for the Australian stock market?

The All-Ordinaries Index tried to push higher this week, but the rally fizzled, with the market reversing to be down just under half a per cent.

This week could end up being the first weekly close below the opening level since April's low, raising the stakes and hinting that a larger reversal may now be in play.

This shift isn't happening in isolation. Global uncertainty is ramping up. Tensions in the Middle East are escalating and talk of US involvement is rattling investor nerves.

Add the risk of surging oil prices together with the ripple effects on company margins and you've got a cocktail of pressure that could drag the market lower in the near term.

If a pullback does unfold from here, the first key level to watch is 8600. A break below that would likely open the door for a gradual slide toward 8400.

But unlike the sharp, sudden drop we saw during the tariff-driven selloff earlier this year, this move feels different, more measured, more persistent, and potentially more drawn out.

That said, there is a wildcard on the horizon: July. Historically one of the strongest months for the All Ords, it also kicks off with a critical interest rate decision. And with most economists tipping another rate cut, that could be the fuel the market needs to reignite the bull run.

Until then, the tone has clearly shifted and that makes stock selection more important than ever. This isn't the time to chase everything. It's the time to be strategic. Sectors like energy, which could benefit from higher oil prices and geopolitical uncertainty, are showing signs of leadership.

So, for investors watching from the sidelines, the next few weeks could serve up a second chance. A well-timed pullback, coupled with the right setup, could open the door to the next major opportunity if you're ready for it.

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Dale Gillham is chief investment analyst at Wealth Within Limited (AFSL 226347). He also serves as the head trainer at the Wealth Within Institute (RTO 21917). He has more than three decades of experience in the investment industry, and is the author of How to Beat the Managed Funds by 20%, Dale's qualifications include an Advanced Diploma and a Diploma of Share Trading and Investment. He co-hosts the Talking Wealth Podcast, and his work has appeared in The Australian Financial Review, New York Business Journal, Wall Street Select and more. Connect with Dale on LinkedIn.