Trump's tariff bombshell: opportunity or orchestration?

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Donald Trump's latest tariff bombshell has shaken global markets and it's raising serious questions. Was this chaos just bad policy or something more calculated? It might sound like a conspiracy theory, but the facts tell a story worth paying attention to.

In just one week, the US slapped a jaw-dropping 104% tariff on Chinese imports, sending markets into a tailspin. Then, just as quickly, Trump announced a 90-day pause for most nations, but not China. In fact, he hiked China's tariff again, this time to 125%.

The result? Massive volatility. Markets tanked, then soared with the S&P 500 posting one of its biggest single-day gains since World War II. For the average investor, it was a rollercoaster. But for those positioned to profit from sudden swings? It was a goldmine.

Trump's tariff bombshell opportunity or orchestration

So, was this chaos accidental or engineered?

History shows that dramatic policy shifts often benefit those with foresight or insider access. Trump's unpredictable approach to tariffs isn't just policymaking, it's market-making. And for those in the know, volatility like this is the perfect playground.

What does this mean for investors?

It's a brutal reminder that relying on global stability is a risk. In this environment, the old "buy and hold" playbook looks dangerously outdated. Instead, the smart money is going where the action is by adopting active strategies gained from a quality education that can flex with fast-moving markets.

Because in a world where headlines move billions and policy is inseparable from profit, one rule stands above all: adapt or be left behind.

What are the best and worst-performing sectors this week? 

The best performing sectors include Information Technology up more than 7%, followed by Communication Services, up more than 3% and Utilities, up more than 2%.

The worst performing sectors include Energy, down more than 2%, followed by Healthcare, down more than 1% and Materials, slightly down under half a per cent.

The best performing stocks in the ASX top 100 include Wisetech Global, up more than 13%, followed by Reece Limited and Telix Pharmaceuticals, both up more than 12%.

The worst performing stocks include Mineral Resources, down more than 10%, followed by Worley Limited, down more than 9% and Lendlease Group, down more than 6%.

What's next for the Australian stock market? 

This week was nothing short of a rollercoaster with classic Trump-era theatrics in full swing.

It all began with reciprocal tariffs that quickly spiralled into a tit-for-tat exchange: China fired back, the U.S. responded again, and just when markets thought they'd caught their breath, another round from China prompted a final, headline-grabbing 125% tariff from the U.S. If this were a drama series, we're still in the pilot episode-so grab your popcorn.

The market reaction was just as dramatic.

Monday saw the sharpest selloff since the early days of COVID, sending shockwaves through investors and sparking widespread capitulation.

But just as panic took hold, Thursday flipped the script. A surprise announcement from Trump pausing the tariffs ignited a powerful rally, with the market surging more than 4.5%. While it didn't quite match the 9.9% rebound seen in the U.S., it was a strong comeback.

By Thursday's close, the market had clawed its way to a modest 0.85% weekly gain, an outcome few would've predicted earlier in the week.

From a technical standpoint, the 7300-level held firm, acting as a critical support zone backed by a long-term momentum line. However, the buyers couldn't break through the 8000-point ceiling, which now stands as the next major hurdle in confirming the strength of this rally.

Until then, volatility is likely to persist, with the 7800-level serving as a near-term support to watch. The question remains-are buyers showing conviction, or simply taking advantage of a brief window?

Information technology and communication services led the bounce, but this week wasn't about sectors but sentiment.

Markets were reacting to a deeper, more concerning threat: the risk of a global economic slowdown, fuelled by spiralling trade tensions. In times like these, all eyes stay glued to U.S. policy, because the old saying still holds true: when America sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold.

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Dale Gillham is chief investment analyst at Wealth Within Limited (AFSL 226347). He also serves as the head trainer at the Wealth Within Institute (RTO 21917). He has more than three decades of experience in the investment industry, and is the author of How to Beat the Managed Funds by 20%, Dale's qualifications include an Advanced Diploma and a Diploma of Share Trading and Investment. He co-hosts the Talking Wealth Podcast, and his work has appeared in The Australian Financial Review, New York Business Journal, Wall Street Select and more.